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Brent Oil Dips Under $78 as Washington and Tehran Reach Interim Peace Accord

Oil markets kept sliding on Thursday, with Brent crude hovering around $78 per barrel – its lowest level since late February. The drop was sparked by news of an interim peace agreement between the United States and Iran, which could soon reopen the Strait of Hormuz and ease sanctions on Iranian oil exports. Analysts note that while the price relief benefits oil‑importing economies, it also raises the risk of a supply‑demand imbalance later this decade, as the International Energy Agency projects a sizable increase in global production.

June 18th, 2026
2 min read
By boursenews.ma

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Oil prices continued their downward trend on Thursday, with Brent crude trading around $78 per barrel, edging close to its lowest level since late February. The dip was triggered by reports of an interim peace agreement between the United States and Iran.

According to a senior U.S. official, the memorandum of understanding was signed electronically, paving the way for a rapid reopening of the Strait of Hormuz – a critical chokepoint for global oil shipments – and a possible easing of sanctions on Iranian exports. Negotiations on the nuclear dossier and further economic incentives are still ongoing.

Investors are also watching maritime companies that had largely suspended Hormuz transits after the U.S. and Iranian blockades. A quick resumption could restore shipping routes and improve logistics for oil carriers.

The International Energy Agency (IEA) warned that worldwide oil supply could grow by 8 million barrels per day by 2027, while demand is projected to increase by only 2 million barrels per day, raising concerns about a future glut.

  • Current Brent price: ~ $78/bbl
  • Key risk: Potential oversupply versus modest demand growth
  • Geopolitical factor: Interim US‑Iran agreement could lift Hormuz restrictions

While the short‑term price relief is welcomed by oil‑importing economies, producers and energy‑related equities may face pressure if the downward trend persists.

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